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Reuters opinion polls show that 94% of economists said that the tariffs of US President-elect Trump will have a negative or some negative impact on the Japanese economy; 51 of 52 economists said that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates to at least 0.50% before the end of March; 58% of analysts said that the Bank of Japan will keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 0.25% in December, compared with 44% in November; The salary increase in Japan's labor negotiations in the next fiscal year is 4.7%, which is lower than the median forecast of 5.1% in this fiscal year.Tao Lin: Tesla won four firsts in the evaluation of "User Satisfaction Index of New Energy Automobile Industry in China in 2024". Tao Lin Weibo, global vice president of Tesla, issued a document saying: Share a good news with friends. In the evaluation result of "NEV-CACSI of New Energy Automobile Industry in China in 2024" recently released by china association for quality, Won four firsts: Model 3 is the pure electric medium-sized car with the highest user satisfaction, Model Y is the pure electric medium-sized SUV with the highest user satisfaction, the first in sales service satisfaction and the first in after-sales service satisfaction.Ye Fan, Southwest Securities: In 2025, the upward trend of domestic economy will continue, and it is estimated that the annual RRR will be lowered by about 100bp. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Ye Fan, chief economist of Southwest Securities, said that in 2025, the domestic economy will continue to stabilize and upward under the policy. From the structural point of view, infrastructure and manufacturing investment are expected to remain the main support items for domestic investment next year, and the decline in real estate investment will gradually narrow; Domestic demand is expected to play a stronger role in stimulating the economy than external demand, and domestic residents' consumption is expected to continue to pick up under the policy. Regarding the direction of fiscal and monetary policies, Ye Fan predicted that the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be around 1.5 trillion -2 trillion yuan in 2025, and it will continue to support the "dual" areas. In the first half of next year or the peak of government bond issuance, there may be a RRR cut for hedging. It is estimated that the RRR cut will be about 100bp for the whole year, and the interest rate cut will be decided by camera. The interest rate cut of 25bp-40bp may be promoted step by step.

Trader: The Indian central bank may support Indian Rupee by selling dollars through state-owned banks.*ST Hetai set up a new company including integrated circuit sales business. According to the enterprise survey APP, recently, Yizhixin Technology Co., Ltd. in Fuzhou High-tech Zone was established. The legal representative is Haining, and its business scope includes: sales of special equipment for semiconductor devices; Integrated circuit sales; Internet of things technology research and development; Internet of things application services, etc. Enterprise equity penetration shows that the company is indirectly wholly-owned by *ST Hetai.District 9 of Beijing issued a gale warning. At present, Huairou, Yanqing, Changping, Haidian, Mentougou, Fangshan, Chaoyang, Pinggu and Shijingshan have issued a blue gale warning signal. Today, the wind-cold effect is obvious, and the body feels cold. We should pay attention to wind and cold protection, and stay away from temporary structures such as billboards and tall trees, and do a good job in outdoor aerial work.

The transformation bull of China stock market is taking shape. The intraday volatility of A50ETF Huabao (159596) meets the layout window. On December 13th, the market fluctuated and adjusted in early trading. By midday, A50ETF Huabao (159596) fell by 2.13%, with a turnover of 69.36 million yuan. In terms of constituent stocks, the top ten awkward stocks are mixed. In terms of rising, Yangtze Power rose; In terms of decline, Zijin Mining led the decline. Guotai Junan believes that the positive change of decision-makers' attitude towards reversing the economic situation and supporting the capital market is an important cornerstone for revising long-term expectations and getting rid of "bear market thinking" and raising the bottom of the stock market. The reform of the capital market will improve shareholders' returns, and resolving debts, promoting reform and stabilizing asset prices are expected to constitute the new "three arrows" of China's economic development, and the transformation bull of China's stock market is taking shape.Medvedev: Trump is very talented, but ending the conflict between Russia and Ukraine in one day is a campaign slogan. According to the Tass news agency, on December 12, Medvedev, vice chairman of the Russian Security Council, said that US President-elect Trump's statement that he could end the conflict in Ukraine "within 24 hours" was his slogan to win the presidential election. Medvedev said, "Trump is a talented person. I think this is still the slogan of (Trump) to win the election. " (Reference message)Hong Kong Securities Regulatory Commission: The quarterly loss from July to September narrowed sharply year-on-year, with a net inflow of 664.3 billion yuan from Hong Kong Stock Connect so far this year.